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Crown Green Handicap

Neil Ross

Team: Lever ClubDivision: League 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1018

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

10

Wins

4

Losses

71%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

4.8

Avg Loss Margin

6-1

Home Record

4-3

Away Record

13%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/18/2017

Only 14 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 154/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 Apr5 May2 Jun12 Jun19 Jun30 Jun18 Aug-11357

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(40%)
71%
score+0.43→contribution+0.17
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
4.8
score+0.54→contribution+0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
71%
score+0.43→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
886
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.284
Sample Size Confidence
13%(14/39 matches)
Rating1142 → shrunk 1018
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

10W4L14 matches·71.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lever Club2017League 11410471.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/18/2017Joey SmithA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 1
7/14/2017Jake McelnayH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
6/30/2017Mike SmethurstA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
6/23/2017Bill DowneyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
6/19/2017Meryl HardingH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 1
6/16/2017Don MylesH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
6/12/2017Tony StocktonH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
6/9/2017Ian HulmeA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
6/2/2017Sam ThompsonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
5/26/2017Don FavagerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 1
5/5/2017Keith FraserH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 1
4/28/2017Eric JamesA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
4/24/2017John PoultneyA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
4/21/2017Sue NugentH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 1
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 0W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJackie ThompsonKendal4-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWLLW
Last 1060% win rate— steady
WWLLWWWWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Joey Smith101100%8/18/2017
Jake Mcelnay101100%7/14/2017
Mike Smethurst0110%6/30/2017
Bill Downey0110%6/23/2017
Meryl Harding101100%6/19/2017
Don Myles101100%6/16/2017
Tony Stockton101100%6/12/2017
Ian Hulme101100%6/9/2017
Sam Thompson0110%6/2/2017
Don Favager0110%5/26/2017
Biggest Win
Meryl Harding (+18)6/19/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Don Favager (-8)5/26/2017
Best Season
201771% · 14 matches
Worst Season
201771% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
71% → 71%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85511 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-370% win rate
League 171.4%
10W·4L·14 played

Debut

Apr 21, 2017

Latest

Aug 18, 2017

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (14 total)

Seasons

2017